Market Flow
Multi-market YES odds flow
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Active market
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YES chance94.7%
NO chance5.3%
Last trade94.7%
Best bid93.7%
Best ask94.8%
Min order5 contracts
Market Tape
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|---|---|---|
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| OpenAI not IPO by Decem... | 94.7% | 5 |
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| OpenAI launch a new con... | 18.0% | 5 |
| 7 Fed rate cuts happen... | 0.1% | 5 |
| any country leave NATO... | 6.7% | 5 |
| Half-Life 3 be announce... | 18.0% | 5 |
| MoistCr1TiKaL get a hai... | 1.0% | 5 |
| US recession by end of... | 7.0% | 5 |
| Hyperliquid perform an... | 35.0% | 5 |
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| Mike Johnson out as Spe... | 9.0% | 5 |
| Hyperliquid perform an... | 26.0% | 5 |
| a team from LEC (Europe... | 2.0% | 5 |
| SCOTUS accepts sports e... | 18.0% | 5 |
Conviction marketFinanceGlobal
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Review the event and pricing before requesting margin
94.7% YES
5.3% NO
Event Details
Resolution summary
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
- Category
- Finance
- Region
- Global
- Topic
- Finance
- Resolution
- Jan 1, 2027
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